Solana & crypto social · regenerates every 30 min
Real interest brings new people. Fake interest is the same crowd getting louder. We measure both — engagement against distinct mentions, across the top-100 social board — and publish the verdict, not just the numbers.
Top movers every 30 minutes, each tagged 🟢 organic / 🟡 thin / 🔴 flat. The verdict is the product — the raw numbers are on a hundred dashboards.
Every token call we sweep is priced at call time and checked at 24h and 7 days — even when the post quietly disappears.
One preregistered, one-shot test. We published the null. Hashes committed in public so you can check we didn't move the goalposts.
Usually it's one of three things — and the tell is identical every time: engagement explodes while mentions stay flat. New people showing up is what a real move looks like. More posts from the same accounts is what manufactured attention looks like.
Change in 24h engagement vs change in distinct mentions, sampled every 30 minutes. Sort any column; filter by verdict; the sparkline is that token's engagement across the last 12 hours of snapshots.
| # | token | engagement 24h | mentions 24h | 12h trend | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $S · Sonic | +7.8% | -0.2% | · QUIET | |
| 2 | $LMWR · LimeWire | +5.5% | -0.2% | · QUIET | |
| 3 | $LTC · Litecoin | +0.8% | +0.1% | · QUIET | |
| 4 | $LIT · Litentry | +0.3% | +0.4% | · QUIET | |
| 5 | $WLFI · World Liberty Financial | +0.2% | -0.4% | · QUIET | |
| 6 | $LUNC · Terra Classic | +0.2% | +0.2% | · QUIET | |
| 7 | $ONDO · Ondo | +0.1% | +0.0% | · QUIET | |
| 8 | $LINK · Chainlink | +0.1% | +0.0% | · QUIET | |
| 9 | $LAT · PlatON | +0.1% | -0.1% | · QUIET | |
| 10 | $ENA · Ethena | +0.1% | +0.0% | · QUIET |
↔ swipe the table for trend & verdict
Fired the moment a mover shows loud engagement on flat mentions. The full feed is free on Telegram; X gets a capped trickle.
Every token call our sweeps capture is priced at the moment of the call, then checked again at 24 hours and 7 days. Posts that quietly disappear are recorded too — deletion is an outcome.
No caller has cleared the 10 marked-call evidence bar yet. The named leaderboard unlocks itself as the archive grows — small samples make dartboards, not verdicts.
one-shot preregistered test · answer: no — coin flip
249 launches measured cleanly · C-index 0.490 (coin flip = 0.5) ·
p = 0.59 · 95% dead ≤72h
Signal, endpoint and statistics were frozen before the run; one authorised look, permanently locked; announcements for every possible verdict drafted in advance. The data picked this one. Anyone selling a smart-money signal on fresh launches now has to beat a preregistered null.
Verify the hashes yourself → github.com/TrenchAutopsy/receipts
Rug verdicts, deployer rap sheets and crowd-real checks, free in the bot. Every flag, uncapped, free in the channel. No token, no wallet connect.